1. Do your research (keep watching the games). The best way to get a feel for the way each team plays is to actually watch them play. What is the key to their offense? Where are there potential weak spots in their D? Getting a feel for their offense, defense, and plays will help you predict how they’ll match up. Invest in extra sports channels and watch each team more than once before you begin to bet on or against them. Paying a handicapper to give you expert picks against the spread will usually pay off, especially long-term.
2. Pay attention to schedules and injuries. Take into account who the team has played against in the previous weeks. If the team has only played against losing opponents and is then matched up with a tougher team to beat, the line will become inflated because others will be betting on them based on their great results. With injuries, look for key players going down. While an o-lineman may not make or break a game, an star QB or RB on the bench can make a difference. The spread will normally adjust based on this, but not always enough, or often too much.
3. Don’t bet on your favorite team just because they’re your favorite. If you want to actually make money, avoid betting on games involving your favorite team altogether – betting is stressful enough without having to worry about your favorite team winning at the same time! Sure, it’s fun and we all do it sometimes, but if your in it to win money, steer clear or be very objective.
4. Consider the quarterback. The quarterback is the most central player in the game, and more than anyone else his abilities will determine how the game turns out. Last minute touchdowns scored with the help of a star quarterback can turn a game around in seconds – or at least help you cover a spread.
5. Remember the cliché: Any given Sunday. More than any other game in sports, football is a game that can go either way no matter what each team’s record is like. An 0-5 team is not destined to lose their 6th. Do your research, follow the above advice and bet with caution. For more information on how to pick winners and NFL expert picks against the spread, looking into paying a professional who does research around the clock to help you pick the best. Check out http://www.smpicks.com for free and paid NFL picks.


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